Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Joint-Sakkari women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Sakkari a 62% chance of defeating Joint at the WTA Hong Kong Open tournament. Additionally, Sakkari has a 60% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Joint (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 21.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Maria Sakkari -200, Maya Joint +164
- First Set: Joint +137, Sakkari -175
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Joint @ +164 via DraftKings
- First Set: Sakkari @ -115 via DraftKings
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Maya Joint to win.
Although Joint is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first serve details
The WTA Hong Kong Open match between Maya Joint and Maria Sakkari is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 5:30 AM ET.
- Who: Maya Joint vs. Maria Sakkari
- Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:30 AM ET/2:30 AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Hong Kong, Hong Kong Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Maria Sakkari, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Maya Joint at the WTA Hong Kong Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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